以智制愚!陸軍AI技術應用之評選

Use Wisdom to Restrain Stupidity! Selection of Army AI Technology Application

張珈進、楊忠翰
C. C. Chang and Z. H. Yang

國防大學 資源管理及決策研究所


摘要

隨著人工智能在國防科技日益廣泛的應用,將改變傳統作戰方式,扮演軍事事務革新的關鍵角色,帶來現代化戰爭的新面貌,大幅提升軍事作戰能力。本研究主要以目標管理框架(OKR)為基礎,結合科技研發附加價值(VORDI)之觀點,藉由文獻回顧及專家訪談結果,建構陸軍AI技術應用評選之四大構面十五項準則;接續運用DEMATEL分析準則間之影響關係,進而結合DANP法求取各準則之相對權重值與重要性排序,最後運用TOPSIS針對陸軍AI技術應用等七個備選方案進行優先排序探討。根據實證結果顯示「陸上攜帶型無人機」為陸軍AI技術應用之最適切方案;另四大構面中影響陸軍AI技術應用最重要為「壽期成本」,其構面下又以「運作及維持成本」為最關鍵之準則,顯示當新式武器裝備或技術能否持續發揮其作戰效能及維持妥善,有賴「運作及維持成本」編列及運用,最後就分析果,以提供陸軍決策時之參考。

關鍵字:人工智能、多準則決策、目標與關鍵成果、科技研發附加價值。

ABSTRACT

With the increasingly widespread application of artificial intelligence in national defense science and technology, it will change traditional combat methods, play a key role in the innovation of military affairs, bring a new look to modern warfare, and greatly enhance military combat capabilities. This research is mainly based on the target management framework (OKR), combined with the viewpoint of the value-added technology research and development (VORDI), and based on the literature review and expert interview results, constructing the four major aspects of the Army AI technology application selection and 15 criteria; continued; Use DEMATEL to analyze the influence relationship between the criteria, and then combine the DANP method to obtain the relative weight value and importance ranking of each criterion, and finally use TOPSIS to discuss the priority ranking of seven alternatives such as the application of army AI technology. According to the empirical results, "land-portable drones" are the most appropriate solution for the application of Army AI technology; among the other four aspects, the most important aspect that affects the application of Army AI technology is "lifetime cost". "Maintenance cost" is the most critical criterion. It shows that whether a new weapon equipment or technology can continue to perform its combat effectiveness and maintain proper maintenance depends on the compilation and application of "operation and maintenance cost". Finally, the analysis results can be used as a reference for the Army's decision-making.

Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Multiple Criteria Decision Making; VORDI; OKR