摘要
為探討社區天然災害預防之風險整合研究，本研究以桃園地區之兩個窪地社區及兩個坡地社區，總共四個社區為對象。經由文獻探討先找出24項社區災害主要危險因子，再依據4M模式(人員、機械、環境、管理)給予歸類。然後，我們利用問卷調查以及ORMIT作業風險整合軟體對這些危險因子進行風險評估。接續利用深度訪談針對這些危險因子，決定其改善方法。然後再利用ORMIT模擬實際執行後，計算出社區天然災害預防預期及實際平均風險指標。整體結果顯示，經過專家訪談建議之後，社區災害之預期風險以及模擬實際風險皆明顯降低，而實際模擬執行風險控制計畫後，平均風險等級(ARR)也降低為中度風險13級。
關鍵字：社區、天然災害、作業風險管理整合軟體(ORMIT)。
ABSTRACT
To explore the risk of natural disaster prevention, there are four community: two depressions and two slope communities in Taoyuan in this study. Through a literature review to identify 24 hazards of community disaster first, and then based on 4M mode (Man, Machine, Media, Management) to give classified. Then, we use questionnaires and ORMIT to assess the risk level of hazards. Take this depth interviews for these hazards, to determine their improvement. Then use ORMIT simulate the actual execution, the calculated natural disaster prevention community expectations and the actual average risk indicators. The overall results showed that after a expert interviews suggested that the expected risk and simulate the actual risk of community disaster are significantly reduced, the original average risk rating (ARR) from 6 reduce to 13.
Keywords: Community; calamity prevention; Operational Risk Management Integration Tool (ORMIT)
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