摘要
後冷戰時期世界各地的衝突將會從以往的美蘇對抗轉為：從解體後的蘇聯帝國獲得核武的「流氓國家」（rogue nations）與恐怖份子之威脅。由於敵人不再單一明確，衝突的理由亦「多樣化」，美國作為世界強權也必須針對此一情勢做出反應，因此，本文闡述利用Perry所提出美國國防安全戰略的「三段論」，來窺探國際關係。
在現實與歷史教訓說明了惟有「掌握槍桿子」的人方才有談條件的資格；至於小國，惟有爭取在權力體系中樞紐地位，並遵循「打不過他就加入他」式的和平演變才能存活。
關鍵字：國際關係、大外交、權力政治、普世價值、國防安全
ABSTRACT
In the Cold War Times, the world conflicts were from the confrontation between America and the Soviet Union. After then, these have changed into the threats of rogue nations which acquire nuclear weapons from the Soviet Union and terrorists. Owing to the enemies being not single and certain, the reasons of conflict are also diversified. America, the great powerful country need to take appropriate steps according to existing circumstance. This paper states Perry’s Syllogism about American National Defense Safety Strategy. By exploring American Military Strategy, we can realize the International Situation.
It explains some people who own the guns will hold great power at the conference table from the actual and historical lessons. As for our small countries, they need to strive to become the important role in the powerful system. Therefore, it is better for we join the powerful countries than we can’t hit them. By the peaceful way, we can exist.
Keywords: International Relation; Diplomacy; Power Politics; Universal Value；National Defense Safety
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